Влияние уровня монетизации экономики на динамику денежной массы.
Abstract
В статье исследована сущность и характер процесса монетизации экономики как важного экономического явления, характеризующего систему денежно–кредитных отношений. Определены основные факторы, влияющие на уровень и динамику монетизации, к которым отнесены: рост валового внутреннего продукта, уровень развития финансового сектора, сбалансированность ресурсной базы банков, уровень инфляции, эффективность использования денежной массы для кредитования экономики, склонность субъектов хозяйствования к сбережениям, активность работы банков на внутреннем денежном рынке и степень доверия к банковской системе. Установлена взаимосвязь между скоростью обращения денег и динамикой коэффициента монетизации. Разработаны экономико–статистические и регрессионные модели для анализа уровня монетизации и прогнозирования объемов денежной массы, определены основные направления повышения уровня монетизации и ее влияние на динамику и структуру денежных агрегатов. Ключевые слова: монетизация, денежная масса, денежные агрегаты, скорость обращения денег, инфляция. = The article researches the essence and nature of the monetization of economy as an economic phe-nomenon that characterizes the system of monetary relations. It was defined the main factors that infl u ence the level and dynamic of monetization that includes the growth of gross domestic product, level of financial sector development, balance of bank reserves basis, inflation level, the effectiveness of money basis using for crediting the economy, economic agents tendency to savings, banks activity on internal money market and level of confidence to banking system. It was determined the interrelations between the velocity of money circulation and the dynamic of monetization level. It was developed the economic and regression models to analyses monetization level and forecasting money aggregates? It was also de-fined the main directions to increase monetization level and its influence on t he dynamic and structure of monetary aggregates Key words: monetization, money supply, monetary aggregates, velocity of money, inflationReferences
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